Date: Sat, 27 Jun 1998 14:12:48 +0100 From: Colin Wight <Colin.Wight-AT-aber.ac.uk> Subject: Re: BHA: RE: Causal powers of absence - and reductionism? I've still yet to hear a half decent argument as to why it is incorrect to say 'the absence of water causes dehydration'. Anyway, it seems to me that some of the arguments about absences and causation might be straining at the leash of reductionism. Let's go back to the hole in the ozone layer. Considered as an absence the hole can be properly said to be part of the causal complex that leads to increses in skin cancer. It could be that I need to go back and read RTS again, but I always thought a realist account of cause recognised that in open systems multiple mechanisms are in play. Gunpowder is an example often used. Gunpowder has the power to explode, but it needs igniting. A realist account of cause doesn't locate the cause of igniting gunpowder in the power of the gunpowder to ignite but in the causal complex which leads to ignition. Gunpowder alone does not ignite. The same can be said of the suns rays; they have the power to cause skin cancer, yet this power isn't always realised. The specifics of why and when it is realised depend upon the situation. And in terms of global warming the hole in the ozone layer plays its role (a causal role) in letting more rays through. This, if you want to put it this way, is the power the hole in the ozone layer possesses - the power to let rays through. Of course we can always describe this situation differently, but I don't see what hangs on this, we can describe everything differently. The mere possibility of a different explanation doesn't refute the first explanation. Why do I think the spectre of reductionism is looming? Because the attempt to understand increased rates of skin cancer purely in terms of the active causal mechanism is apt to miss the causal complex which provides a fuller account. At a biological level it is clearly the increased exposure of the suns rays which are responsible, but to fully understand this situation we would need to incorporate more levels into our explanation, one of which would be the environment. Clearly, there is something present in the environment which is causally implicated in increased rates of skin cancer. And this thing is a hole in the ozone layer - some of the ozone layer is absent. At the level of the environment there is a hole in the ozone layer letting in more rays. This hole by itself doesn't explain increased rates of skin cancer any more than the mere existence of matches explains igniting fireworks, but without it these increased rates can't be explained, any more than igniting fireworks can be explained without recourse to mechanisms of ignition. Cheers, ============================================ Dr. Colin Wight Department of International Politics University of Wales, Aberystwyth Wales SY23 3DA Tel: (01970) 621769 --- from list bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu ---
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