File spoon-archives/bhaskar.archive/bhaskar_2002/bhaskar.0204, message 12


From: "Marshall Feldman" <marsh-AT-uri.edu>
Subject: RE: BHA: Emergence
Date: Tue, 2 Apr 2002 14:17:01 -0500


no

> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu
> [mailto:owner-bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu]On Behalf Of Richard
> Moodey
> Sent: Tuesday, April 02, 2002 10:54 AM
> To: bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu
> Subject: RE: BHA: Emergence
>
>
> Hi Marsh,
>
> You say: "While the happiness or unhappiness of the marriage is not
> determined with certainty, the PROBABILITIES are."  Are you drawing the
> distinction here between the probability of an event, or of a state of
> events, and the probability (or certaintly) of knowledge?  Or, to put it
> differently, are you saying that we certainly know (not just with a high
> degree of probability) what the probabilities are of this kind of
> marriage
> persisting in a state we would call "happy"?
>
> Regards,
>
> Dick
>
> At 10:38 AM 03/28/2002 -0500, you wrote:
>
>
> > > [much deleted]
> >You may see where I'm going with this. At any given time, the relation of
> >emergence between levels 1 and 2 may be one of probabilities: if
> Moses and
> >Mary are of two different faiths and get married, their marriage may be
> >happy or unhappy with probabilities p and 1-p (sorry for the
> example, with
> >its heterosexist overtones, but it makes the point particularly
> clearly --
> >much of the reason why some parents want their children to hook up with
> >partners from the same background is that the parents believe the
> >probabilities of happiness in such situations, q, are > p). This is
> >certainly an example of an emergent property. (I'm not saying it actually
> >exists.) While the happiness or unhappiness of the marriage is not
> >determined with certainty, the PROBABILITIES are. In other
> words, necessity
> >here operates at the level of probabilities.
>
>
>
>
>
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>



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