From: "Marshall Feldman" <marsh-AT-uri.edu> Subject: RE: BHA: Emergence Date: Tue, 2 Apr 2002 14:17:01 -0500 no > -----Original Message----- > From: owner-bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu > [mailto:owner-bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu]On Behalf Of Richard > Moodey > Sent: Tuesday, April 02, 2002 10:54 AM > To: bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu > Subject: RE: BHA: Emergence > > > Hi Marsh, > > You say: "While the happiness or unhappiness of the marriage is not > determined with certainty, the PROBABILITIES are." Are you drawing the > distinction here between the probability of an event, or of a state of > events, and the probability (or certaintly) of knowledge? Or, to put it > differently, are you saying that we certainly know (not just with a high > degree of probability) what the probabilities are of this kind of > marriage > persisting in a state we would call "happy"? > > Regards, > > Dick > > At 10:38 AM 03/28/2002 -0500, you wrote: > > > > > [much deleted] > >You may see where I'm going with this. At any given time, the relation of > >emergence between levels 1 and 2 may be one of probabilities: if > Moses and > >Mary are of two different faiths and get married, their marriage may be > >happy or unhappy with probabilities p and 1-p (sorry for the > example, with > >its heterosexist overtones, but it makes the point particularly > clearly -- > >much of the reason why some parents want their children to hook up with > >partners from the same background is that the parents believe the > >probabilities of happiness in such situations, q, are > p). This is > >certainly an example of an emergent property. (I'm not saying it actually > >exists.) While the happiness or unhappiness of the marriage is not > >determined with certainty, the PROBABILITIES are. In other > words, necessity > >here operates at the level of probabilities. > > > > > > --- from list bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu --- > --- from list bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu ---
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