Date: Tue, 02 Apr 2002 15:07:26 -0500 Subject: RE: BHA: Emergence Thanks At 02:17 PM 04/02/2002 -0500, you wrote: >no > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: owner-bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu > > [mailto:owner-bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu]On Behalf Of Richard > > Moodey > > Sent: Tuesday, April 02, 2002 10:54 AM > > To: bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu > > Subject: RE: BHA: Emergence > > > > > > Hi Marsh, > > > > You say: "While the happiness or unhappiness of the marriage is not > > determined with certainty, the PROBABILITIES are." Are you drawing the > > distinction here between the probability of an event, or of a state of > > events, and the probability (or certaintly) of knowledge? Or, to put it > > differently, are you saying that we certainly know (not just with a high > > degree of probability) what the probabilities are of this kind of > > marriage > > persisting in a state we would call "happy"? > > > > Regards, > > > > Dick > > > > At 10:38 AM 03/28/2002 -0500, you wrote: > > > > > > > > [much deleted] > > >You may see where I'm going with this. At any given time, the relation of > > >emergence between levels 1 and 2 may be one of probabilities: if > > Moses and > > >Mary are of two different faiths and get married, their marriage may be > > >happy or unhappy with probabilities p and 1-p (sorry for the > > example, with > > >its heterosexist overtones, but it makes the point particularly > > clearly -- > > >much of the reason why some parents want their children to hook up with > > >partners from the same background is that the parents believe the > > >probabilities of happiness in such situations, q, are > p). This is > > >certainly an example of an emergent property. (I'm not saying it actually > > >exists.) While the happiness or unhappiness of the marriage is not > > >determined with certainty, the PROBABILITIES are. In other > > words, necessity > > >here operates at the level of probabilities. > > > > > > > > > > > > --- from list bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu --- > > > > > > --- from list bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu --- --- from list bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu ---
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