File spoon-archives/bhaskar.archive/bhaskar_2002/bhaskar.0204, message 14


Date: Tue, 02 Apr 2002 15:07:26 -0500
Subject: RE: BHA: Emergence


Thanks

At 02:17 PM 04/02/2002 -0500, you wrote:
>no
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: owner-bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu
> > [mailto:owner-bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu]On Behalf Of Richard
> > Moodey
> > Sent: Tuesday, April 02, 2002 10:54 AM
> > To: bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu
> > Subject: RE: BHA: Emergence
> >
> >
> > Hi Marsh,
> >
> > You say: "While the happiness or unhappiness of the marriage is not
> > determined with certainty, the PROBABILITIES are."  Are you drawing the
> > distinction here between the probability of an event, or of a state of
> > events, and the probability (or certaintly) of knowledge?  Or, to put it
> > differently, are you saying that we certainly know (not just with a high
> > degree of probability) what the probabilities are of this kind of
> > marriage
> > persisting in a state we would call "happy"?
> >
> > Regards,
> >
> > Dick
> >
> > At 10:38 AM 03/28/2002 -0500, you wrote:
> >
> >
> > > > [much deleted]
> > >You may see where I'm going with this. At any given time, the relation of
> > >emergence between levels 1 and 2 may be one of probabilities: if
> > Moses and
> > >Mary are of two different faiths and get married, their marriage may be
> > >happy or unhappy with probabilities p and 1-p (sorry for the
> > example, with
> > >its heterosexist overtones, but it makes the point particularly
> > clearly --
> > >much of the reason why some parents want their children to hook up with
> > >partners from the same background is that the parents believe the
> > >probabilities of happiness in such situations, q, are > p). This is
> > >certainly an example of an emergent property. (I'm not saying it actually
> > >exists.) While the happiness or unhappiness of the marriage is not
> > >determined with certainty, the PROBABILITIES are. In other
> > words, necessity
> > >here operates at the level of probabilities.
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >      --- from list bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu ---
> >
>
>
>
>      --- from list bhaskar-AT-lists.village.virginia.edu ---




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